WeatherGNN: Exploiting Meteo- and Spatial-Dependencies for Local Numerical Weather Prediction Bias-Correction

Binqing Wu, Weiqi Chen, Wengwei Wang, Bingqing Peng, Liang Sun, Ling Chen

Proceedings of the Thirty-Third International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence

Main Track. Pages 2433-2441.

https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2024/269

PDF BibTeX

Abstract

Due to insufficient local area information, numerical weather prediction (NWP) may yield biases for specific areas. Previous studies correct biases mainly by employing handcrafted features or applying data-driven methods intuitively, overlooking the complicated dependencies between weather factors and between areas. To address this issue, we propose WeatherGNN, a local NWP bias-correction method that utilizes Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to exploit meteorological dependencies and spatial dependencies under the guidance of domain knowledge. Specifically, we introduce a factor GNN to capture area-specific meteorological dependencies adaptively based on spatial heterogeneity and a fast hierarchical GNN to capture dynamic spatial dependencies efficiently guided by Tobler's first and second laws of geography. Our experimental results on two real-world datasets demonstrate that WeatherGNN achieves the state-of-the-art performance, outperforming the best baseline with an average of 4.75 % on RMSE.

Keywords

  • Data Mining: DM: Applications
  • Data Mining: DM: Mining spatial and/or temporal data
Welcome Future Conferences AI Journal Division IJCAI Proceedings Travel Grant Program IJCAI Awards