Proceedings

Pre-release Prediction of Crowd Opinion on Movies by Label Distribution Learning

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Proceedings of the Twenty-Fourth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence. Special Track on Machine Learning. Pages 3511-3516.

Abstract

This paper studies an interesting problem: is it possible to predict the crowd opinion about a movie before the movie is actually released? The crowd opinion is here expressed by the distribution of ratings given by a sufficient amount of people. Consequently, the pre-release crowd opinion prediction can be regarded as a Label Distribution Learning (LDL) problem. In order to solve this problem, a Label Distribution Support Vector Regressor (LDSVR) is proposed in this paper. The basic idea of LDSVR is to fit a sigmoid function to each component of the label distribution simultaneously by a multi-output support vector machine. Experimental results show that LDSVR can accurately predict peoples’s rating distribution about a movie just based on the pre-release metadata of the movie.

Xin Geng, and Peng Hou. 2015. Pre-release Prediction of Crowd Opinion on Movies by Label Distribution Learning. In Proceedings of the Twenty-Fourth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI-15. IJCAI, 3511–3516. https://ijcai.org/proceedings/2015/494
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