Forecast Oriented Classification of Spatio-Temporal Extreme Events

Chen, Zhengzhang; Xie, Yusheng; Cheng, Yu; Zhang, Kunpeng; Agrawal, Ankit; Liao, Wei-keng; Samatova, Nagiza F.; Choudhary, Alok N.

Forecast Oriented Classification of Spatio-Temporal Extreme Events

Zhengzhang Chen, Yusheng Xie, Yu Cheng, Kunpeng Zhang, Ankit Agrawal, Wei-keng Liao, Nagiza F. Samatova, Alok N. Choudhary

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Proceedings of the Twenty-Third International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence. Pages 2952-2953.

Abstract

In complex dynamic systems, accurate forecasting of extreme events, such as hurricanes, is a highly underdetermined, yet very important sustainability problem. While physics-based models deserve their own merits, they often provide unreliable predictions for variables highly related to extreme events. In this paper, we propose a new supervised machine learning problem, which we call a forecast oriented classification of spatiotemporal extreme events. We formulate three important real-world extreme event classification tasks, including seasonal forecasting of (a) tropical cyclones in Northern Hemisphere, (b) hurricanes and landfalling hurricanes in North Atlantic, and (c) North African rainfall. Corresponding predictor and predict and data sets are constructed. These data present unique characteristics and challenges that could potentially motivate future Artificial Intelligent and Data Mining research.

Zhengzhang Chen, Yusheng Xie, Yu Cheng, Kunpeng Zhang, Ankit Agrawal, Wei-keng Liao, Nagiza F. Samatova, and Alok N. Choudhary. 2013. Forecast Oriented Classification of Spatio-Temporal Extreme Events. In Proceedings of the Twenty-Third International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI-13. IJCAI, 2952–2953. https://ijcai.org/proceedings/2013/433

@inproceedings{ijcai2013p433,
  title     = {Forecast Oriented Classification of Spatio-Temporal Extreme Events},
  author    = {Chen, Zhengzhang and Xie, Yusheng and Cheng, Yu and Zhang, Kunpeng and Agrawal, Ankit and Liao, Wei-keng and Samatova, Nagiza F. and Choudhary, Alok N.},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the Twenty-Third International Joint Conference on
               Artificial Intelligence, {IJCAI-13}},
  publisher = {AAAI Press / International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence},
  editor    = {Francesca Rossi},
  pages     = {2952--2953},
  year      = {2013},
  month     = {8},
  url       = {https://ijcai.org/proceedings/2013/433},
}

TY  - CPAPER
TI  - Forecast Oriented Classification of Spatio-Temporal Extreme Events
AU  - Chen, Zhengzhang
AU  - Xie, Yusheng
AU  - Cheng, Yu
AU  - Zhang, Kunpeng
AU  - Agrawal, Ankit
AU  - Liao, Wei-keng
AU  - Samatova, Nagiza F.
AU  - Choudhary, Alok N.
T2  - Proceedings of the Twenty-Third International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI-13
PB  - AAAI Press / International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence
PY  - 2013
SP  - 2952
EP  - 2953
UR  - https://ijcai.org/proceedings/2013/433
ER  -