Combining Spatial and Temporal Aspects of Prediction Problems to Improve Prediction Performance

Groves, William

doi:10.5591/978-1-57735-516-8/IJCAI11-475

Combining Spatial and Temporal Aspects of Prediction Problems to Improve Prediction Performance

William Groves

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Proceedings of the Twenty-Second International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence. Pages 2806-2806.

https://doi.org/10.5591/978-1-57735-516-8/IJCAI11-475

Abstract

Quantitative prediction problems involving both spatial and temporal components have appeared prominently in several disparate research areas including finance, supply chain management, and civil engineering. Unfortunately, either the spatial or temporal aspect tends to dominate the other in many prediction formulations. We briefly examine the underlying formulations used in spatial and temporal prediction. Then, we outline a method that combines these approaches and improves prediction results in high-dimensional economic domains by integrating multivariate and time series techniques which require minimal tuning but achieve superior performance compared to previous methods. We present preliminary results in the context of the Trading Agent Competition for Supply Chain Management.

William Groves. 2011. Combining Spatial and Temporal Aspects of Prediction Problems to Improve Prediction Performance. In Proceedings of the Twenty-Second International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI-11. IJCAI, 2806–2806. https://doi.org/10.5591/978-1-57735-516-8/IJCAI11-475

@inproceedings{ijcai2011p475,
  title     = {Combining Spatial and Temporal Aspects of Prediction Problems to Improve Prediction Performance},
  author    = {Groves, William},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the Twenty-Second International Joint Conference on
               Artificial Intelligence, {IJCAI-11}},
  publisher = {AAAI Press/International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence},
  editor    = {Toby Walsh},
  pages     = {2806--2806},
  year      = {2011},
  month     = {7},
  doi       = {10.5591/978-1-57735-516-8/IJCAI11-475},
  url       = {https://doi.org/10.5591/978-1-57735-516-8/IJCAI11-475},
}

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TI  - Combining Spatial and Temporal Aspects of Prediction Problems to Improve Prediction Performance
AU  - Groves, William
T2  - Proceedings of the Twenty-Second International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI-11
PB  - AAAI Press/International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence
PY  - 2011
SP  - 2806
EP  - 2806
DO  - 10.5591/978-1-57735-516-8/IJCAI11-475
UR  - https://doi.org/10.5591/978-1-57735-516-8/IJCAI11-475
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